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Red22
768611.9
499016.0
97211.6
Blue24
304513.9
46698.9
67185.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36380102030506070802224

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4990
#40
16.01.4
12.411.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6
red by 2.1
3045
#12
13.91.3
13.312.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Second
7686
#35
11.91.4
9.37.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 3.0
4669
#33
8.91.3
13.412.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Third
972
#38
11.61.4
12.511.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.1
red by 6.1
6718
#42
5.51.3
8.97.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed