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Red59
67017.6
583114.3
415914.8
Blue35
84115.1
466914.6
730811.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443301001502002503003505935

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#37
17.60.6
17.317.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
red by 2.5
841
#33
15.10.1
12.012.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End3.7
Second
4159
#16
14.80.5
12.312.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 0.3
14.60.1
8.99.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Third
5831
#54
14.30.8
12.112.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End4.3
red by 2.9
7308
#47
11.40.1
9.910.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed