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Red53
603615.5
348215.8
248913.3
Blue32
135113.4
577316.0
502627.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3957020801005332

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3482
#38
15.80.8
11.712.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End4.8
blue by 11.8
5026
#25
27.51.6
27.626.0
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End10.0
Second
6036
#26
15.50.7
11.512.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.3
blue by 0.5
5773
#29
16.02.4
10.98.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End4.4
Third
2489
#31
13.30.8
13.514.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End1.8
blue by 0.1
1351
#56
13.41.6
15.413.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsMissed