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Red12
84010.1
66813.6
666513.6
Blue51
499020.6
135113.4
603915.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060801251

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#52
13.61.8
14.913.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End2.9
blue by 7.0
4990
#21
20.60.4
18.918.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End5.1
Second
6665
#45
13.61.8
12.911.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End1.6
blue by 1.5
6039
#13
15.00.4
14.414.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End7.3
Third
840
#51
10.11.8
10.68.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 3.3
1351
#56
13.40.4
13.513.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsMissed