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Red58
517120.4
67017.6
417110.6
Blue56
29914.6
203516.7
348215.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4843203060705856

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5171
#27
20.40.8
18.719.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End6.0
red by 3.7
2035
#32
16.71.0
13.714.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Second
670
#37
17.60.8
18.319.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
red by 1.8
3482
#38
15.81.0
13.614.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End4.8
Third
4171
#18
10.60.8
8.29.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.4
blue by 4.0
299
#58
14.61.0
13.214.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed