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Red47
66199.6
19921.3
466914.6
Blue80
603615.5
84628.2
84010.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435402060804780

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#6
21.30.4
22.022.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End5.6
blue by 6.9
846
#1
28.20.3
27.928.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.5
End8.5
Second
14.60.4
11.612.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End3.4
blue by 0.9
6036
#26
15.50.3
14.214.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.3
Third
6619
#48
9.60.4
7.57.9
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End3.4
blue by 0.5
840
#51
10.10.3
8.99.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsEarned