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Red71
281315.9
186826.9
499020.6
Blue66
822.8
603615.5
247317.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6656204060801007166

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.6
26.326.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End8.3
red by 4.1
8
#23
22.80.7
22.623.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End3.4
Second
4990
#21
20.60.6
20.020.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End5.1
red by 3.2
2473
#43
17.40.7
15.516.2
Auto2.6
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Third
2813
#59
15.90.6
16.016.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End3.0
red by 0.4
6036
#26
15.50.7
14.615.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed