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Red55
203516.7
573713.2
502627.5
Blue57
19921.3
549923.0
213517.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5662203040507080901005557

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#25
27.50.1
26.826.9
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End10.0
red by 4.5
5499
#15
23.00.3
21.621.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End4.0
Second
2035
#32
16.70.1
14.814.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 4.7
199
#6
21.30.3
22.422.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End5.6
Third
5737
#10
13.20.2
11.411.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.2
blue by 4.1
2135
#24
17.30.3
15.214.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsMissed