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Red70
499020.6
203516.7
84115.1
Blue41
425512.5
285415.2
135113.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52432030406070807041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4990
#21
20.61.0
20.621.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End5.1
red by 5.4
2854
#53
15.20.0
16.016.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Second
2035
#32
16.71.0
14.915.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
red by 3.3
1351
#56
13.40.0
12.612.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Third
841
#33
15.11.0
14.014.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End3.7
red by 2.6
4255
#50
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed