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Red54
348215.8
730811.4
583114.3
Blue56
584911.9
623812.2
549923.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424802060805456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3482
#38
15.80.4
15.415.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End4.8
blue by 7.3
5499
#15
23.00.5
22.322.8
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End4.0
Second
5831
#54
14.30.5
13.814.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End4.3
red by 2.1
6238
#44
12.20.5
11.712.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.3
Third
7308
#47
11.40.4
10.310.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End3.4
blue by 0.5
5849
#57
11.90.8
11.111.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed