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Red100
441433.3
519929.6
693414.8
Blue70
11426.4
29426.7
788712.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8369406010012010070

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.4
33.533.9
Auto4.9
Teleop19.7
End8.7
red by 6.6
294
#3
26.70.1
26.826.9
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End10.3
Second
29.60.4
29.930.3
Auto3.0
Teleop19.1
End7.6
red by 3.2
114
#10
26.40.1
26.526.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.4
End4.2
Third
6934
#33
14.80.4
15.015.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End3.0
red by 2.4
7887
#17
12.40.1
12.312.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End2.0