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Red59
581829.3
51079.7
11426.4
Blue67
788712.4
347323.4
420121.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474745505560655967

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.5
19.620.1
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End6.6
red by 5.9
3473
#16
23.41.4
17.218.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.5
End4.1
Second
114
#10
26.40.5
16.016.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.4
End4.2
red by 4.9
21.51.6
19.320.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.6
End4.0
Third
5107
#41
9.70.7
9.310.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 2.7
7887
#17
12.42.1
8.310.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed