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Red44
392517.6
113821.2
655313.5
Blue51
386322.6
248619.9
693414.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53572030407080904451

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#20
21.20.4
21.621.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End6.1
blue by 1.4
3863
#25
22.60.4
23.423.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.9
End2.1
Second
3925
#26
17.60.4
17.116.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.3
blue by 2.3
2486
#12
19.90.5
17.516.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End5.1
Third
6553
#21
13.50.7
11.210.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End3.0
blue by 1.3
6934
#33
14.80.7
13.512.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsEarned