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Red32
551016.3
732722.0
567812.7
Blue21
330314.9
58012.8
585711.4
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414025303545503221

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.6
15.114.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.4
End4.1
red by 7.1
3303
#31
14.91.1
16.715.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Second
5510
#24
16.30.8
12.912.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.9
red by 3.5
580
#42
12.81.3
11.710.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End4.1
Third
5678
#28
12.70.6
10.810.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End2.5
red by 1.4
5857
#36
11.41.9
9.67.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed