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Red60
570018.7
386322.6
547714.3
Blue24
58012.8
73268.2
551016.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543410203040506070806024

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#25
22.60.4
22.522.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.9
End2.1
red by 6.3
5510
#24
16.30.6
12.111.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Second
5700
#13
18.70.4
14.815.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.1
End2.7
red by 5.9
580
#42
12.80.5
10.49.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End4.1
Third
5477
#22
14.30.4
13.914.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 6.1
7326
#39
8.20.9
9.68.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed