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Red49
585711.4
765016.5
351216.3
Blue33
639813.6
113821.2
330314.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4358020801004933

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7650
#18
16.50.6
13.213.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End4.1
blue by 4.7
1138
#20
21.21.4
24.322.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End6.1
Second
3512
#34
16.30.3
17.117.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End4.6
red by 1.4
3303
#31
14.91.4
14.813.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Third
5857
#36
11.40.6
10.611.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.2
blue by 2.3
6398
#35
13.62.4
15.613.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsMissed