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Red54
788712.4
254322.6
248619.9
Blue47
392517.6
513618.0
330314.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545446485052565860625447

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#11
22.60.2
20.921.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
red by 4.7
5136
#19
18.00.4
18.818.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End5.9
Second
2486
#12
19.90.2
18.518.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End5.1
red by 2.3
3925
#26
17.60.3
18.818.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.3
Third
7887
#17
12.40.3
11.912.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End2.0
blue by 2.5
3303
#31
14.90.3
13.313.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed