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Red53
113821.2
567812.7
732315.3
Blue31
51079.7
639813.6
586913.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50350102030406070805331

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#20
21.20.2
22.923.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End6.1
red by 7.6
6398
#35
13.60.2
13.212.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.0
End3.3
Second
7323
#23
15.30.3
12.612.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End3.6
red by 2.3
5869
#30
13.00.2
11.411.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Third
5678
#28
12.70.2
11.812.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End2.5
red by 3.0
5107
#41
9.70.1
8.78.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed