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Red60
51079.7
347323.4
732411.1
Blue55
113821.2
765016.5
248619.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416220801006055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#16
23.41.4
20.922.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.5
End4.1
red by 2.2
1138
#20
21.20.2
23.122.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End6.1
Second
7324
#38
11.12.2
9.711.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.9
blue by 8.8
2486
#12
19.90.2
18.718.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End5.1
Third
5107
#41
9.71.4
8.59.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 6.8
7650
#18
16.50.4
16.816.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsMissed