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Red75
448625.8
420121.5
447015.4
Blue45
586913.0
732722.0
254322.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63522030407080907545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.0
22.422.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End5.4
red by 3.2
2543
#11
22.60.3
21.120.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Second
21.50.0
22.322.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.6
End4.0
blue by 0.5
22.00.3
16.616.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.4
End4.1
Third
4470
#15
15.40.0
14.914.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.5
red by 2.4
5869
#30
13.00.4
11.110.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed