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Red41
513720.9
67649.1
51079.7
Blue51
11426.4
693414.8
73268.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404602060801004151

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5137
#27
20.90.2
17.617.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.1
blue by 5.5
114
#10
26.40.2
16.116.0
Auto3.8
Teleop18.4
End4.2
Second
5107
#41
9.70.3
9.19.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 5.1
6934
#33
14.80.2
13.813.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Third
6764
#29
9.10.3
11.211.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End2.7
red by 0.8
7326
#39
8.20.2
13.313.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed