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Red69
585711.4
732315.3
386322.6
Blue82
254322.6
29426.7
693414.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4759102030407080906982

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#25
22.61.4
20.722.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.9
End2.1
blue by 4.1
294
#3
26.71.3
24.525.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End10.3
Second
7323
#23
15.32.1
14.316.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End3.6
blue by 7.3
2543
#11
22.61.3
20.822.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Third
5857
#36
11.42.1
9.511.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.2
blue by 3.4
6934
#33
14.81.9
10.912.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed83%HAB Docking oddsEarned