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Red52
59924.5
639813.6
765016.5
Blue36
47119.5
513618.0
693414.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574520304050607080905236

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#4
24.50.1
23.723.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End5.3
red by 6.5
5136
#19
18.00.8
18.517.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End5.9
Second
7650
#18
16.50.1
15.715.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End4.1
red by 1.7
6934
#33
14.80.8
12.812.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Third
6398
#35
13.60.1
14.314.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.0
End3.3
red by 4.1
4711
#40
9.50.6
11.010.4
Auto5.5
Teleop2.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed