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Red49
570018.7
73268.2
655313.5
Blue47
332812.8
693414.8
330314.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414202060801001201404947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5700
#13
18.70.5
18.418.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.1
End2.7
red by 3.8
3303
#31
14.90.5
14.414.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Second
6553
#21
13.50.6
12.913.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End3.0
blue by 1.3
6934
#33
14.80.5
13.413.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Third
7326
#39
8.20.5
7.78.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End3.2
blue by 4.5
3328
#37
12.80.5
12.312.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed