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Red45
513720.9
551016.3
732315.3
Blue18
732722.0
47119.5
73268.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494520304060704518

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5137
#27
20.90.1
17.817.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.1
blue by 1.1
22.01.6
16.715.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.4
End4.1
Second
5510
#24
16.30.1
13.012.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.9
red by 6.8
4711
#40
9.51.6
12.911.2
Auto5.5
Teleop2.0
End2.0
Third
7323
#23
15.30.1
15.415.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End3.6
red by 7.0
7326
#39
8.22.7
13.110.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed