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Red69
64924.9
167120.7
97138.7
Blue71
292820.1
84625.5
581827.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028240601201406971

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
38.72.7
41.038.3
Auto5.7
Teleop24.1
End8.9
red by 10.8
5818
#17
27.90.4
25.725.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End6.0
Second
649
#22
24.92.7
33.530.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.0
blue by 0.6
846
#31
25.50.4
29.729.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.9
End6.1
Third
1671
#26
20.72.7
22.019.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End7.5
red by 0.5
2928
#13DQ
20.10.4
22.021.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
50%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
100%HAB Docking oddsMissed94%HAB Docking oddsMissed