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Red100
97138.7
550726.6
321818.8
Blue65
273323.4
330927.2
69621.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958940608010012014010065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
38.70.3
39.239.5
Auto5.7
Teleop24.1
End8.9
red by 11.5
3309
#14
27.21.3
31.730.4
Auto3.8
Teleop17.8
End5.6
Second
5507
#10
26.60.3
27.227.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End8.5
red by 3.2
2733
#12
23.41.3
27.926.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End6.2
Third
3218
#30
18.80.3
23.523.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End3.1
blue by 2.5
696
#38
21.41.3
24.423.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket oddsEarned18%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned