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Red77
594014.5
330927.2
293025.1
Blue75
171016.6
204621.5
11429.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6974204060801001207775

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#14
27.20.1
30.630.8
Auto3.8
Teleop17.8
End5.6
blue by 1.9
114
#5
29.10.8
28.727.9
Auto3.1
Teleop20.4
End5.6
Second
2930
#11
25.10.1
24.124.2
Auto2.8
Teleop15.2
End7.1
red by 3.6
2046
#24
21.50.8
24.724.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End4.9
Third
5940
#23
14.50.1
11.111.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End3.9
blue by 2.1
1710
#37
16.60.8
17.116.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
17%Rocket oddsEarned34%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsEarned54%HAB Docking oddsMissed