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Red57
107215.4
330927.2
255719.1
Blue103
581827.9
161930.3
293025.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67862040608010012057103

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#14
27.20.4
30.329.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.8
End5.6
blue by 3.1
30.31.4
31.833.2
Auto3.5
Teleop19.5
End7.3
Second
2557
#18
19.10.4
17.417.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End5.8
blue by 8.8
5818
#17
27.91.4
25.827.2
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End6.0
Third
1072
#39
15.40.4
15.415.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End1.1
blue by 9.8
2930
#11
25.11.4
24.225.6
Auto2.8
Teleop15.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
19%Rocket oddsMissed42%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed96%HAB Docking oddsEarned