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Red74
265923.2
60429.5
49819.2
Blue52
347620.7
321818.8
171016.6
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776320401007452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#15
29.50.1
29.429.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End8.9
red by 8.9
3476
#32
20.70.7
21.320.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Second
2659
#29
23.20.1
25.125.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.7
End6.4
red by 4.4
3218
#30
18.80.7
21.721.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Third
498
#21
19.20.1
18.418.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End4.0
red by 2.6
1710
#37
16.60.7
17.016.2
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsMissed21%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed