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Red79
347620.7
292820.1
186821.8
Blue66
171016.6
293025.1
69621.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63644050607080907966

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#28
21.81.3
20.521.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End7.3
blue by 3.4
2930
#11
25.10.4
23.924.3
Auto2.8
Teleop15.2
End7.1
Second
3476
#32
20.71.3
19.620.9
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
blue by 0.7
696
#38
21.40.4
20.520.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End6.6
Third
2928
#13
20.11.3
19.721.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End5.5
red by 3.6
1710
#37
16.60.4
16.216.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
30%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned66%HAB Docking oddsEarned