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Red70
161024.6
447221.8
126226.6
Blue44
688212.7
424222.2
219925.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816940601001207044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.5
27.426.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End6.8
red by 1.6
2199
#36
25.11.6
26.224.6
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End8.3
Second
1610
#29
24.60.5
25.725.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
red by 2.4
4242
#28
22.21.6
24.322.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End4.9
Third
4472
#39
21.80.5
24.023.5
Auto3.0
Teleop15.1
End3.8
red by 9.1
6882
#53
12.71.6
14.613.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
24%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned81%HAB Docking oddsMissed