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Red42
159923.6
53920.6
463820.1
Blue65
454119.1
533823.2
445623.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71632040801004265

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#18
23.61.7
25.423.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End8.0
red by 0.1
4456
#10
23.50.4
20.721.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End8.5
Second
539
#57
20.61.7
18.917.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End4.5
blue by 2.6
5338
#14
23.20.4
21.421.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End10.0
Third
4638
#25
20.11.7
22.621.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 1.1
4541
#16
19.10.4
17.317.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking oddsEarned92%HAB Docking oddsEarned