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Red74
633422.9
688212.7
126226.6
Blue51
206816.1
68617.9
379323.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736230405080901001107451

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.4
27.527.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End6.8
red by 3.2
3793
#11
23.40.7
25.124.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End7.6
Second
6334
#44
22.90.4
24.224.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End7.0
red by 5.0
686
#52
17.90.7
18.417.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.7
Third
6882
#53
12.70.4
16.917.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End3.2
blue by 3.4
2068
#51
16.10.7
14.814.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned66%HAB Docking oddsEarned