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Red83
141825.8
445623.5
777021.8
Blue69
54023.7
33921.4
374820.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7267204060801001208369

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.0
26.327.3
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End4.5
red by 2.1
540
#26
23.70.4
21.021.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Second
4456
#10
23.51.0
21.122.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End8.5
red by 2.1
339
#27
21.40.4
18.118.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End5.7
Third
7770
#38
21.81.0
20.521.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End3.9
red by 1.2
3748
#24
20.70.4
24.024.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed