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Red80
654314.7
454119.1
447221.8
Blue76
111116.4
284922.1
97728.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596702040801001208076

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#39
21.81.6
22.424.0
Auto3.0
Teleop15.1
End3.8
blue by 6.3
977
#5
28.10.4
28.629.1
Auto5.7
Teleop17.2
End5.3
Second
4541
#16
19.11.6
18.319.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 3.0
2849
#35
22.10.4
19.419.8
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Third
6543
#34
14.71.6
15.417.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End5.4
blue by 1.7
1111
#50
16.40.4
15.415.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsMissed