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Red60
68617.9
253716.9
161024.6
Blue69
173125.0
299825.4
291416.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63692040801006069

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#29
24.60.7
26.926.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
blue by 0.7
2998
#40
25.40.1
27.727.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End4.8
Second
686
#52
17.90.7
17.717.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.7
blue by 7.1
1731
#37
25.00.1
22.122.2
Auto3.4
Teleop14.9
End6.7
Third
2537
#33
16.90.7
15.514.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End4.2
red by 0.5
2914
#43
16.30.1
15.315.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed