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Red50
108616.6
654314.7
409918.8
Blue78
42220.3
379323.4
454119.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5471204060801001205078

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#55
18.80.1
20.019.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.1
blue by 4.6
3793
#11
23.40.7
24.425.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End7.6
Second
1086
#30
16.60.1
14.514.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End3.9
blue by 3.7
422
#54
20.30.7
22.523.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End3.6
Third
6543
#34
14.70.1
17.016.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End5.4
blue by 4.3
4541
#16
19.10.7
19.920.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsEarned