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Red49
463820.1
112314.3
291416.3
Blue91
447221.8
61429.6
284922.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5274204060801001204991

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#25
20.10.0
20.120.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 9.5
614
#23
29.61.4
29.130.5
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End7.1
Second
2914
#43
16.30.0
15.014.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
blue by 5.8
2849
#35
22.11.4
18.519.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Third
1123
#56
14.30.0
14.514.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End6.1
blue by 7.6
4472
#39
21.81.4
22.724.1
Auto3.0
Teleop15.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsEarned