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Red75
173125.0
68617.9
111116.4
Blue77
34631.3
171919.8
533823.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577920401001207577

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#37
25.01.0
21.722.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.9
End6.7
blue by 6.2
346
#19
31.30.1
32.933.1
Auto5.3
Teleop17.3
End8.6
Second
686
#52
17.91.0
15.816.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.7
blue by 5.3
5338
#14
23.20.1
21.121.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End10.0
Third
1111
#50
16.41.0
16.517.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.8
blue by 3.4
1719
#41
19.80.1
20.921.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned