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Red96
454119.1
188528.1
126226.6
Blue59
777021.8
291416.3
33921.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8059401001209659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#21
28.11.0
27.528.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.4
End4.3
red by 6.2
7770
#38
21.80.2
21.521.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End3.9
Second
26.61.0
26.827.7
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End6.8
red by 5.2
339
#27
21.40.2
19.119.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End5.7
Third
4541
#16
19.11.0
21.222.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
red by 2.7
2914
#43
16.30.2
14.915.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed