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Red70
253716.9
159923.6
299825.4
Blue59
633422.9
112314.3
108616.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6954204060801007059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2998
#40
25.40.3
27.327.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End4.8
red by 2.4
6334
#44
22.90.5
22.322.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Second
1599
#18
23.60.3
22.622.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End8.0
red by 7.0
1086
#30
16.60.5
14.214.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Third
2537
#33
16.90.3
15.916.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End4.2
red by 2.6
1123
#56
14.30.5
14.415.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned