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Red75
61221.8
97728.1
253426.6
Blue81
291416.3
445623.5
558724.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846320401007581

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#5
28.10.7
29.228.5
Auto5.7
Teleop17.2
End5.3
red by 3.4
5587
#22
24.71.5
22.824.2
Auto5.9
Teleop15.2
End3.7
Second
26.60.7
28.127.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.6
End8.6
red by 3.1
4456
#10
23.51.5
21.222.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End8.5
Third
612
#47
21.80.7
22.021.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End7.5
red by 5.4
2914
#43
16.31.5
15.216.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsEarned