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Red61
335920.3
219925.1
454119.1
Blue65
68617.9
554620.2
299825.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74692040601001201406165

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#36
25.10.6
27.226.6
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End8.3
blue by 0.3
2998
#40
25.40.0
27.627.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End4.8
Second
3359
#48
20.30.6
21.120.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End6.2
Level
5546
#31
20.20.0
20.720.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.1
End6.5
Third
4541
#16
19.10.6
22.221.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
red by 1.2
686
#52
17.90.0
16.616.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsEarned