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Red67
53920.6
88821.0
409918.8
Blue76
161024.6
111116.4
777021.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596830405080901001106776

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#32
21.00.7
20.220.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End5.5
blue by 3.6
1610
#29
24.60.4
25.225.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
Second
539
#57
20.60.7
17.518.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End4.5
blue by 1.2
7770
#38
21.80.4
21.722.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End3.9
Third
4099
#55
18.80.7
18.118.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.1
red by 2.4
1111
#50
16.40.4
17.718.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed