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Red49
583015.1
554620.2
33921.4
Blue75
379323.4
97728.1
61429.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609040801001204975

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#27
21.40.5
20.019.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End5.7
blue by 8.2
614
#23
29.60.7
31.630.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End7.1
Second
5546
#31
20.20.5
20.520.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.1
End6.5
blue by 7.9
977
#5
28.10.7
29.128.4
Auto5.7
Teleop17.2
End5.3
Third
5830
#49
15.10.5
16.716.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End5.9
blue by 8.4
3793
#11
23.40.7
24.423.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsEarned87%HAB Docking oddsEarned