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Red75
633422.9
38425.1
447221.8
Blue81
61429.6
454119.1
141825.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768340506070901001101207581

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#17
25.10.2
25.525.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.8
End7.9
blue by 4.4
614
#23
29.60.2
31.431.6
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End7.1
Second
6334
#44
22.90.2
22.923.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End7.0
blue by 2.9
25.80.2
26.326.5
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End4.5
Third
4472
#39
21.80.2
23.824.0
Auto3.0
Teleop15.1
End3.8
red by 2.8
4541
#16
19.10.2
20.720.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
91%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsMissed