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Red98
353837.3
107322.9
19534.0
Blue89
400327.6
86228.2
13336.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9999808590951051101159889

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
Unranked
37.30.1
37.137.2
Auto5.3
Teleop25.6
End6.4
red by 1.0
133
Unranked
36.30.1
37.036.9
Auto5.7
Teleop23.9
End6.7
Second
195
Unranked
34.00.1
33.833.9
Auto4.2
Teleop24.4
End5.4
red by 5.8
862
Unranked
28.20.1
28.928.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.1
End6.0
Third
1073
Unranked
22.90.1
22.722.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End6.2
blue by 4.7
4003
Unranked
27.60.1
28.328.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.4
End7.4