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Red116
212233.9
419221.9
204635.1
Blue126
167840.7
193925.1
717930.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931006080120140116126

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
Unranked
35.10.6
34.234.8
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End7.2
blue by 5.6
1678
Unranked
40.70.7
40.140.8
Auto4.3
Teleop26.5
End9.9
Second
2122
Unranked
33.90.6
33.033.6
Auto3.4
Teleop23.4
End7.1
red by 3.0
7179
Unranked
30.90.7
30.330.9
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End4.4
Third
4192
Unranked
21.90.6
21.321.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End6.7
blue by 3.3
1939
Unranked
25.10.7
24.525.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End5.5