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Red109
17933.7
49822.9
97139.2
Blue95
290720.1
14837.6
384729.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100932040608012014016018010995

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
Unranked
39.20.2
38.738.9
Auto5.5
Teleop25.0
End8.7
red by 1.6
148
Unranked
37.60.2
37.938.0
Auto4.6
Teleop25.6
End7.4
Second
179
Unranked
33.70.2
33.233.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End6.2
red by 4.4
3847
Unranked
29.30.2
29.629.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.7
End5.2
Third
498
Unranked
22.90.2
22.422.6
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End4.6
red by 2.7
2907
Unranked
20.10.2
20.420.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.1
End4.2